Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 24.994166 28.873097 33.066747 37.926578 43.391855 49.336355 56.279368
2025-01-26 19.672569 25.357813 32.084255 40.572680 50.936499 63.112676 78.428836
2025-02-02 16.999620 23.858642 32.553646 44.248340 59.410758 78.234347 103.175768
2025-02-09 14.156708 21.408678 31.168548 45.026930 63.919462 88.460907 122.376823
2025-02-16 11.820175 19.130598 29.512973 44.979883 67.007762 96.757694 139.367178
2025-02-23 9.913398 17.096596 27.819574 44.509063 69.232530 103.798871 154.887691
2025-03-02 8.436395 15.445903 26.407332 44.169386 71.439818 110.771357 170.552540
2025-03-09 7.230901 14.020013 25.115969 43.788599 73.423756 117.403555 185.973950
2025-03-16 5.835396 12.033383 22.650653 41.241989 71.782937 118.458315 193.148079
2025-03-23 5.331374 11.547888 22.599975 42.563092 76.243627 128.889735 214.817137
2025-03-30 4.962292 11.252480 22.826634 44.336133 81.515233 140.822402 239.353709
2025-04-06 4.275957 10.224823 21.611939 43.470104 82.298039 145.659899 253.025524
2025-04-13 3.514605 8.950213 19.848787 41.570277 81.385803 148.065075 263.604352
2025-04-20 3.350115 8.937242 20.526351 44.261205 88.758056 164.664839 298.288699
2025-04-27 3.314398 9.207646 21.796134 48.186936 98.621668 186.013267 341.918821
2025-05-04 2.989130 8.742159 21.494084 49.018195 102.884306 198.035752 370.580306
2025-05-11 2.632933 8.129684 20.793908 48.966269 105.463638 207.241878 394.887355
2025-05-18 2.292052 7.483541 19.925426 48.459323 107.097201 214.813628 416.688382
2025-05-25 2.006814 6.923364 19.169194 48.093681 108.944599 222.825900 439.597463
2025-06-01 1.756654 6.404823 18.434151 47.683796 110.644027 230.619541 462.443801
2025-06-08 1.419809 5.545987 16.740710 44.941718 107.348862 228.876820 467.947042
2025-06-15 1.326274 5.418863 16.866318 46.364426 112.799204 243.951770 504.874745
2025-06-22 1.260993 5.369933 17.187971 48.273143 119.400846 261.553044 547.221057